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A new cold War in Europe is basically unavoidable. Europe will have to deal with a potentially outcast, unstable and technologically isolated Russia. This new version of the Cold War in greater Europe is bound to be far less stable than the previous edition. Restoring mutual trust with Russia is going to prove extremely difficult, if it is even possible.

It remains to be seen, given the rivalry between the United States and China, whether it will be a single cold war where the world may be divided into two blocks.

The Ukraine crisis comes at a time when more than 45 million people in 43 countries across the globe are at risk of starvation, with 584,000 already living in famine-like conditions, and the remaining 44+ million at a grave risk of falling into famine

Countries depending on Food Aid

The 58 countries here below that abstained on Russia's suspension of UNCHR are considered by Russia as an 'unfriendly gesture' with consequences both in the development of bilateral relations and in the work on the issues important for them within the framework of the U.N.

1. Algeria
2. Belarus
3. Bolivia
4. Burundi
5. Central African Republic
6. China
7. Congo
8. Cuba
9. Dem Rep of Korea
10. Eritrea
11. Ethiopia
12. Gabon
13. Iran
14. Kazakhstan
15. Kyrgyztan
16. Lao PDR
17. Mali
18. Nicaragua
19. Syria
20. Tajikistan
21. Uzbekistan
22. Vietnam
23. Zimbabwe

1. Albania
2. Andorra
3. Antigua-Barbuda
4. Argentina
5. Australia
6. Austria
7. Bahamas
8. Belgium
9. Bosnia-Herzegovina
10. Bulgaria
11. Canada
12. Chad
13. Chile
14. Colombia
15. Comoros
16. Costa Rica
17. Côte d'Ivoire
18. Croatia
19. Cyprus
20. Czech Rep
21. Dem Rep of the Congo
22. Denmark
23. Dominica
24. Dominican Republic
25. Ecuador
26. Estonia
27. Fiji
28. Finland
29. France
30. Georgia
31. Germany
32. Greece

Whatever scenario comes next, there is little doubt that Russia will enter a period of faster decline. Only in the case of an early end to the fighting, a peace settlement, and Putin’s ouster could Russia hope to stem its loss of power. Even then, distrust of Russia in the West will remain for generations.

Source: Atlantic Council

1. A FROZEN CONFLICT SCENARIO

Russia’s war effort in Ukraine drags on for more than a year, as the civilian death toll continues to rise. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains in Kyiv, even with his life in persistent danger from Russian-directed assassination attempts.

The Russian political system is a diffuse and informal one, but the closest thing to a true command-and-control nexus for President Vladimir Putin, including non-military interference abroad, is the Presidential Executive Office of Russia, also known as the Presidential Administration (AP, Administratsiya Prezidenta).

The UN General Assembly is empowered to suspend the rights of membership of a member of the HRC in circumstances where that State is committing gross and systematic human rights violations. This requires the adoption of a resolution by the General Assembly by a two-thirds majority of States present and voting, with only yes and no votes counting for this purpose. In other words, the total number of States voting yes in favour of suspension must be two times more than the total number of States voting no against suspension.